Inflation Falls to the Lowest Level since March 2021

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge showed inflation falling to the lowest level in over two years in October, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

  • Y-O-Y: The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index slowed to 3.0% in October, down from 3.4% in September and the lowest level since March 2021.
  • M-O-M: Consumer prices were flat in October, down from the 0.4% increase in September and the lowest level since July 2022.

Slight Beat. Economists were spot on with their year-over-year projection but they did think prices would rise by 0.1% in October.

Slowing Down. Both spending and income slowed exactly as economists projected in October.

  • Personal spending rose 0.2% in October, down from 0.7% in September and the lowest level since May.
  • Personal income also rose by 0.2% in October, down from 0.4% in September and the lowest increase since June.