Inflation Falls To 6%, Core Inflation Slightly Hotter Than Expected

As the banking system and markets stabilized, all eyes were on the latest inflation data which matched economists’ projections, according to the latest Consumer Price Index.

  • Y-O-Y: The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers increased to 6.0% in February, down from 6.4% in January and the lowest level since September 2021.
  • M-O-M: Consumer prices rose 0.4% from January, down from the 0.5% increase last month.

Hit The Nail On The Head. Economists hit the nail on the head with annualized and monthly numbers.

Core’s A Little Hot. The core index’s monthly increase was slightly hotter than expected with a 0.5% increase from January while the year-over-year number was spot on at 5.5%.

  • Shelter costs continue to push the core index higher with another record 8.1% year-over-year increase thanks to a record 0.8% increase month-over-month in February.
  • Used cars & trucks reported a huge 2.8% drop from January pushing the annualized rate down to 13.6%

Food & Energy. Food inflation fell under 10.0% for the first time since April 2022 dropping to 9.5% in February. Groceries stayed in double-digit territory (10.2%) while food at restaurants dropped to 8.4%.

  • Energy prices fell 0.6% from January to push the year-over-year rate down to 5.2%.