Job Openings Fell Less Than Expected To End May

Job openings fell at the end of May but they didn’t fall as much as economists had projected, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics…(BLS)

  • On the last business day of May, the number and rate of job openings decreased to 11.3 million from last month’s 11.4 million.
  • The decline this month was thanks to a 325k drop in professional and business services followed by durable goods manufacturing (-138,000), and nondurable goods manufacturing (-70,000).

NOTE: Economists had projected that openings would fall to 11.0M at the end of May.

With such a small monthly drop the great resignation continues as quits and layoffs mainly were unchanged for the month…

  • The number of quits was little changed at 4.3 million at the end of May. Quits increased the most in arts, entertainment, and recreation with a jump of 19,000. Quits fell the most in real estate and rental and leasing with a 33,000 drop.
  • The number of layoffs and discharges was little changed at 1.4 million. Layoffs and discharges increased in wholesale trade by 24,000 and in federal government (+4,000).

Recently, commodity prices have been falling along with bond yields. More forecasts have also put Q2 in negative territory which would put us in a technical recession. However, with 11 million job openings and only 1.3M continuing jobless claims the labor market remains incredibly tight. I don’t see how you can be in any kind of a recession with this kind of labor market…