Retail Sales Positive, But Slightly Under Expectations

Despite rising prices, retail sales were up in March but were slightly under what was expected, according to the Census Bureau’s monthly report…(Census Bureau)

  • M-O-M: Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales were up 0.4% to $665.7 billion in March.
  • Y-O-Y: Retail sales were up 6.9% when compared to the same time one year ago.

SWING & A MISS: Economists expected a 0.6% gain in March

Not surprisingly, gas stations reported the biggest month-over-month gains with an increase of 8.9% followed by general stores (+5.4%), electronic stores (+3.3%), clothing stores (+2.6%), and grocery stores (+1.3%).

  • Online retailers had the worst month with a 6.4% drop from February followed by motor vehicle parts (-1.3%) and department and health stores both down 0.3%.

It is important to remember that retail numbers are not adjusted for inflation. The latest CPI print put price increases at 1.2% month-over-month. With retail spending only up 0.5%, one could conclude that real retail spending is down 0.7%.